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Industry Momentum Service

What is the service?

A proprietary, quantitative model - the Industry Momentum Model - analyzes each group and sector's price behavior during the past year and forecasts their expected active return.

What makes it different?

  • Pure price action measure designed specifically for groups and sectors
  • Does not rely on macroeconomic forecasts
  • Combines well with stock selection fundamentals
  • Designed for institutional holding periods

Who should use it?

Portfolio managers and analysts interested in an objective, quantitative forecast of industry group and economic sector performance

What do I receive?

Weekly rankings (1 to 10, see the graph below) from the Industry Momentum Model for the 100+ Standard & Poors industry groups and 10 economic sectors. The rankings characterize each group or sector's expected active return over the next 12 months.

What do the rankings mean?

Model Ranking Graph

How do I get the rankings?

  • E-mail delivery of Industry Momentum report
  • FTP access to data file
  • Access to Industry Momentum report from the Columbine web site

How has it performed?

How is it computed?

The Industry Momentum Model analyzes the weekly returns from every industry group and economic sector over the past year. Applying a proprietary algorithm to these return series, the Industry Momentum Model measures the price momentum exhibited by each group and sector and assigns rankings from 1 (best) to 10 (worst).

How do I use it?

In general, overweight your portfolio's exposure to industry groups or economic sectors ranked 1 on the Industry Momentum Model. These groups/sectors are likely to outperform the market over the next year. Likewise, underweight those ranked 10; they tend to underperform. Intermediate rankings (2-9) also have utility, but the extreme rankings are the most predictive.

How can it help me?

  • Identify groups or sectors likely to outperform
  • Avoid potential problem groups or sectors
  • Enhance stock selection process
  • Dodge potential "torpedo" stocks
  • Input into proprietary stock selection process

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This page last modified on: 2/19/2008 10:49:18 AM